Bitcoin Halving 2024 |
Introduction
K33 has evolved from the former Arcane Crypto, which was founded by CEO Torbjørn Bull Jenssen back in 2018 as an operational integration of web3 as well as cryptocurrency firms specialized in financial services. In 2022, Arcane Crypto divided into two companies: Arcario, listed on Nasdaq First North in Stockholm still retaining the old mandate of portfolio, and K33 which merged several portfolio companies. Research has been fundamentally important all along; it has defined Arcane Crypto and now K33 where information together with knowledge shapes decisions hence providing an unequalled base for dealing with digital asset world.
Understanding Bitcoin's Halving and Its Market Impact
The paper provides a holistic view of the expected impact of bitcoin’s impending halving on April 20, 2024 as per Torbjørn Bull Jenssen, CEO of K33. It examines how the halving could affect Bitcoin’s market dynamics from a demand point of view rather than only focusing on the typical supply cut.
Main Points Covered
- Speculative Action and Historical Precedence:As for speculative actions, bitcoin had seen an average 14% gain month leading up to previous halvings. Although this trend will continue in 2024, this article argues that bitcoin’s price is influenced by many factors making it difficult to give exact predictions.
- Demand as the Driving Force: However, it should be noted that the cutting of bitcoins’ generation rate through halving is primarily seen from its supply side. Moreover, demand determines bitcoin prices fundamentally according to this piece of work. A scenario whereby there is a growth in demand for holding of Bitcoin despite reduced supply post-halving would cause prices to go up.
- Impact of Halving on Supply and Demand Dynamics:Thus while a direct supply reduction from (1.8% inflation rate) might appear inconsequential in terms of pricing; instead the more significant question remains how this type of supply reduction can affect market dynamics and so forth.The halving tends to increase attention on Bitcoin, possibly resulting in a bull market that favors buyers.
- Market and Hodler Behavior: The long-term holders of the cryptocurrency (hodlers) and how their investment behavior may affect prices are discussed. This article suggests that it will have a significant impact on prices if these investors are fully invested and do not sell even with just a slight increase in demand (without corresponding supply).
- The Halving as a Marketing Event: The halving also serves as an important marketing event that highlights Bitcoin’s scarcity and therefore induces consumers to want it more. This rising consciousness can lead to increasing use and purchase resulting in upward movements in prices.
- Efficient Market Hypothesis and the Halving: Based on one article, efficient market hypothesis suggests that the halving should already be priced into Bitcoin’s value. Nevertheless, real life market reaction including option trading behavior implies that the halving might not cause immediate drastic price changes.
Investor Recommendations
Speculators might try to game short-term price moves heading into the halving.
Long-term investors are advised to shift their focus more towards demand side of bitcoin rather than only looking at what will happen due to its reduction. Consequently, underlying growth in adoption, awareness, and long-term scarcity of bitcoins are considered pivotal for investment determinations.
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